General Election Thread

[astfgyl]

Both were poor on Pat Kenny this morning. Very much a case of voting for least worse.

Cheers. I was in the mood for a bit of Type O and I couldn't decide which album 

[Emphyrio]

Tis the season....hohoho

[Black Shepherd Carnage]

Latest poll:

Connolly - 38%
Humphreys - 20%
Gavin - 5%
Undecided - 18%
Not voting - 12%
Spoiling vote - 6%

https://archive.is/2hqV1

Minimal extra analysis: Connolly has only gone up 2% since last poll. Humphreys has gone down, in other words has gained nothing from Gavin withdrawing.

[Trev]

Humphrey's has brought nothing to any debate apart from "look at what Connolly did!" I reckon that coupled with the blatant free ride she's getting from the media is going to keep dragging her down

[Black Shepherd Carnage]

She's an absolute dose and, frankly, acting like a moron:


What's she suggesting here? That Paul Murphy, who is not Connolly's campaign manager, subliminally persuaded her to defame him as part of a "strategy"?    He's absolutely right to sue her, I'd say he's fucking sick of being falsely accused of shit.

[Emphyrio]

Connolly shouldn't even make herself available for further interviews or debates. The only thing that could harm her now is saying something very stupid.

As an aside, Paul Murphy is a total dumbass.

[Black Shepherd Carnage]

Was chatting about it with some folk there and it really is a pity, for everyone, that McGuinness had to pull out. I'd say at this stage, she and Connolly would be neck and neck, and it'd be a much more enriching public debate. Humphreys has nothing going for her whatsoever: inarticulate, terrible record, petty personality, which all means the only thing she can do is fling the same muck at CC over and over again, making for, as you called it, a grubby affair.

[The Butcher]

Humphreys is a pure nothing between the head candidate. I can see only her polling numbers go down as we get closer to polling day but half won't bother to vote while Connolly voters seem more enthused by her. Bertie also going mad things didn't go his way so there's been some positives to be taken from the whole thing - the whole Gavin landlord shambles is pure FF and should push forward Martins demise as leader...but looks like FF are in a complete vacuum - no ideas, no leaders, no quality. FF and FG since 2016 are now attached to the hip for survival.

The fact that spoiled votes are polling above Gavin is something that will embarrass the government further, if it gets to 10% or so, I reckon that's international headlines - 6% I saw someone say is around 90,000 votes if we get a similar turnout like last election 43%, but I think it will hover around 40% (lowest turnout).

[Black Shepherd Carnage]

I think the moral of this story is... don't trust Clare Daly and Mick Wallace.

Ms Connolly is pictured with other members of an Irish delegation in the company of Saed Abd Al-Aal, who led a pro-Assad armed group responsible for killing and starvation in a refugee camp in Yarmouk, a southern district of the Syrian capital Damascus.

https://archive.is/XOLYr

[Emphyrio]

Her association with those 2 clowns is the major black mark I have against her. It's been a shit campaign with fairly poor candidates. It's the first election I can understand why people might spoil their vote. I hope they ease the nomination criteria going forward.

[astfgyl]

Do we even think this will get to 40 percent turnout?

Nearly everyone I've spoken to has zero enthusiasm for it whatsoever. I really don't care which one of them gets it because they're shit and hopefully the whole thing just amounts to a lesson learned about the general quality of candidates going forward.

Very very poor altogether

[Emphyrio]

It's going to be a record low turnout I'd say, which is a bad look for the government, so at least there's that.

[The Heretic]

I think the Irish presidency is about as relevant as the British Royal family these days

[Black Shepherd Carnage]

Had last night's debate on in the background this morning. Must have shouted "Shut up! Shut uuup!" in the direction of the screen about 20 times. Mainly at Miriam and yer wan. Essentially repeating the same questions four, five, six times. And all questions already heard a dozen times over the last couple of weeks.

[Black Shepherd Carnage]